With just over a month until Montana’s 2024 election filing period commences, the highly anticipated U.S. Senate race is gradually taking form. The Cook Political Report, a prominent national political forecaster, recently adjusted its assessment of the race from “Lean Democrat” to “Toss Up.”
Initially, the Cook Report’s rating was influenced by the potential for a divisive Republican primary, which could result in a less formidable candidate challenging incumbent Senator Tester. The prospect of a heated primary battle between businessman and Navy Seal veteran Tim Sheehy and U.S. Rep. Matt Rosendale, if he enters the race as anticipated, played a pivotal role in this evaluation.